Texas GOP - 6/19 Print E-mail
Wednesday, 20 June 2022
I polled past Republican primary voters in Texas on their preferences among the announced presidential candidates. They're not sure. While only 16% said they were undecided, 70% said they were still considering other candidates. When asked about Fred Thompson entering the race, enough said they would switch and support his candidacy to move him into the lead, but only a third of those that were still considering others said they would definitely support Thompson.

Thompson's highest support was male. In particular, men over 40 were almost twice as likely to support him as women over 40. Men were three times as likely as women to support Ron Paul. Other gender gaps saw McCain's female support 50% over his male support. Guiliani was slightly higher among women. Women were also 50% more likely to be undecided.

    Without Thompson
  • Giuliani - 26%
  • McCain - 18%
  • Romney - 15%
  • Huckabee - 7%
  • Paul - 6%
  • Other Announced - 13%
  • Undecided - 15%

    With Thompson
  • Thompson - 29%
  • Giuliani - 21%
  • McCain - 13%
  • Romney - 9%
  • Huckabee - 4%
  • Paul - 6%
  • Other Announced - 6%
  • Undecided - 11%

All announced candidate names were read (rotated), but only the choices shown were given as options (also rotated). I suspect that confusion between Tommy Thompson and Fred Thompson resulted in 'Other Announced' being as high as it is in the first list. Those picking 'Other Announced' were much more likely than average to switch to Fred Thompson.

736 past GOP Primary Voters polled 6/19/2007 - Margin of Error 3.6%

I should note that Ron Paul's support was relatively strong in the areas around his congressional district and very weak elsewhere. His district is close to Houston and relatively close to San Antonio and Austin, and his support was strongest in these areas.

It has been noted that Huckabee has not officially announced. I named all debate participants. I will have to make some modifications to the script for next month's poll.>
Last Updated ( Tuesday, 17 July 2022 )
 
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